Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.308435 0.415029 0.532886 0.670600 0.825085 0.991299 1.182015
2025-04-20 0.175046 0.313996 0.487554 0.708717 0.973787 1.273874 1.632685
2025-04-27 0.117486 0.268471 0.475160 0.753590 1.100211 1.503334 1.995316
2025-05-04 0.087277 0.249455 0.489180 0.825745 1.255905 1.765147 2.394796
2025-05-11 0.059329 0.222502 0.484842 0.868431 1.370778 1.974972 2.730539
2025-05-18 0.033446 0.186302 0.459691 0.878083 1.440279 2.127443 2.996494
2025-05-25 0.009837 0.132543 0.396044 0.826660 1.425476 2.172628 3.130853
2025-06-01 0.000436 0.088275 0.335579 0.771347 1.399439 2.199332 3.239126
2025-06-08 NaN 0.062524 0.300468 0.748500 1.413137 2.272989 3.402055
2025-06-15 NaN 0.051269 0.291853 0.765242 1.480126 2.413745 3.646974
2025-06-22 NaN 0.036513 0.269346 0.756566 1.509731 2.505236 3.830045
2025-06-29 NaN 0.022669 0.241247 0.734886 1.518596 2.568306 3.976573
2025-07-06 NaN 0.019880 0.247246 0.775837 1.623071 2.763128 4.296862
2025-07-13 NaN 0.017311 0.253213 0.817329 1.729643 2.962564 4.625493
2025-07-20 NaN 0.015960 0.263046 0.865550 1.845849 3.174452 4.969490
2025-07-27 NaN 0.018242 0.288483 0.943082 2.005969 3.445110 5.388377
2025-08-03 NaN 0.016646 0.296907 0.988819 2.118835 3.653071 5.728116
2025-08-10 NaN 0.011610 0.286911 0.999155 2.178501 3.790032 5.977876
2025-08-17 NaN 0.003447 0.244882 0.944057 2.137506 3.790950 6.053732
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000106 0.203984 0.884667 2.086295 3.775623 6.106846
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.181698 0.860096 2.086711 3.828581 6.245858
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.179015 0.878104 2.154183 3.973378 6.503421
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.165021 0.868773 2.177269 4.056620 6.681041